Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Poehling 46.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 64.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 73.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Backlund
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Backlund
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
46.5% (269)
+5.4%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
66.7% (3)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
42.4% (139)
+1.9%
On power play, Poehling has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Backlund
Poehling
Home
51.9% (673)
45.2% (177)
Away
49.9% (713)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Backlund
Poehling
P1
51.4%
47.7%
P2
50.5%
44.4%
P3
51.4%
44.6%
OT
35.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |