Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Poehling 47.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Backlund
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
49.8% (626)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
58.3% (12)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
38.2% (207)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Backlund
Poehling
Home
48.1% (580)
47.3% (404)
Away
51.1% (653)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Backlund
Poehling
P1
45.1%
53.5%
P2
54.7%
39.4%
P3
49.0%
49.1%
OT
46.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |