Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Bennett 47.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 53.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 69.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Backlund
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Backlund
Bennett
Last 7: Backlund 6-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Backlund
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
45.5% (756)
+6.0%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
63.0% (92)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
31.0% (29)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bennett
Home
51.6% (653)
46.5% (456)
Away
49.3% (576)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Backlund
Bennett
P1
50.0%
46.6%
P2
49.8%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
43.5%
OT
53.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |