Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Bennett 46.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Backlund
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Backlund
Bennett
Last 9: Backlund 4-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
4
Backlund
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
46.5% (909)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
43.1% (51)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
38.5% (13)
+2.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bennett
Home
48.7% (749)
45.4% (449)
Away
48.1% (703)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Backlund
Bennett
P1
50.4%
49.6%
P2
50.1%
43.7%
P3
45.8%
45.1%
OT
30.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |