Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Bennett 45.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 53.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 76.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Backlund
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Backlund
Bennett
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
4
Backlund
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
2
Backlund
Bennett
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
44.7% (772)
+6.3%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
56.9% (58)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
42.9% (28)
-0.6%
On even strength, Backlund has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bennett
Home
51.2% (782)
48.5% (447)
Away
49.4% (765)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Backlund
Bennett
P1
51.5%
47.1%
P2
49.8%
45.8%
P3
49.9%
42.9%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |