Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Bennett 47.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 66.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Backlund
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Backlund
Bennett
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
1
Backlund
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
48.2% (766)
+3.7%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
45.1% (82)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
33.9% (56)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bennett
Home
51.9% (673)
49.1% (458)
Away
49.9% (713)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Backlund
Bennett
P1
51.4%
47.9%
P2
50.5%
47.2%
P3
51.4%
46.4%
OT
35.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |