Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Bennett 48.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 79.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Backlund
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Backlund
Bennett
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Backlund
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Backlund
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
46.4% (780)
+3.7%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
57.3% (150)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
47.8% (46)
+0.0%
On power play, Bennett has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bennett
Home
48.1% (580)
50.3% (519)
Away
51.1% (653)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Backlund
Bennett
P1
45.1%
47.5%
P2
54.7%
46.6%
P3
49.0%
49.8%
OT
46.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |