Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 87.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Backlund
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Backlund
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
40.9% (232)
+10.6%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
100.0% (1)
-50.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
40.0% (30)
+5.3%
On power play, Lafferty has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Backlund
Lafferty
Home
51.6% (653)
38.2% (123)
Away
49.3% (576)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Backlund
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
41.6%
P2
49.8%
36.7%
P3
51.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |