Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Lafferty 50.4% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 57.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Backlund
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
50.7% (144)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
50.0% (2)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
50.0% (10)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Backlund
Lafferty
Home
48.7% (749)
53.2% (62)
Away
48.1% (703)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Backlund
Lafferty
P1
50.4%
53.3%
P2
50.1%
46.7%
P3
45.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%