Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 68.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Backlund
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
52.4% (42)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Backlund
Lafferty
Home
48.1% (580)
47.8% (23)
Away
51.1% (653)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Backlund
Lafferty
P1
45.1%
53.3%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
49.0%
47.1%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%