Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Thompson 41.2% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Backlund
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Backlund
Thompson
Last 9: Backlund 4-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Backlund
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
40.6% (801)
+10.9%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
44.7% (103)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
31.0% (71)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thompson
Home
51.6% (653)
43.2% (507)
Away
49.3% (576)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Backlund
Thompson
P1
50.0%
37.7%
P2
49.8%
43.4%
P3
51.7%
39.5%
OT
53.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |