Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.4% vs Seguin 55.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 81.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 63.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Backlund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Backlund
Seguin
Last 9: Backlund 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Backlund
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (912)
55.9% (789)
-7.2%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
52.1% (48)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
44.4% (9)
-6.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Backlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Backlund shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Backlund
Seguin
Home
48.2% (596)
57.3% (382)
Away
46.1% (547)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Backlund
Seguin
P1
49.3%
55.1%
P2
44.7%
57.5%
P3
47.0%
53.7%
OT
72.7%
61.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |