Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Seguin 51.8% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Backlund
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
54.8% (135)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
58.3% (24)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
26.7% (15)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Backlund
Seguin
Home
48.7% (749)
47.4% (95)
Away
48.1% (703)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Backlund
Seguin
P1
50.4%
50.8%
P2
50.1%
57.1%
P3
45.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%