Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 62.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Backlund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Backlund
Seguin
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
56.9% (478)
-5.9%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
57.4% (54)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
51.3% (76)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Backlund
Seguin
Home
51.2% (782)
57.4% (317)
Away
49.4% (765)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Backlund
Seguin
P1
51.5%
50.3%
P2
49.8%
60.4%
P3
49.9%
58.0%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |