Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Seguin 54.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Backlund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Backlund
Seguin
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
Backlund
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
55.0% (713)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
56.7% (104)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
47.2% (53)
-2.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Backlund
Seguin
Home
51.9% (673)
56.2% (443)
Away
49.9% (713)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Backlund
Seguin
P1
51.4%
54.2%
P2
50.5%
52.9%
P3
51.4%
57.1%
OT
35.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |