Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Backlund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Backlund
Seguin
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
6
Backlund
Seguin
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Backlund
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
56.5% (712)
-5.0%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
59.7% (67)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
44.9% (49)
+0.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Backlund
Seguin
Home
51.6% (653)
58.5% (402)
Away
49.3% (576)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Backlund
Seguin
P1
50.0%
58.4%
P2
49.8%
54.7%
P3
51.7%
54.1%
OT
53.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |