Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Backlund
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
53.2% (201)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
60.0% (25)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
44.4% (9)
+3.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Backlund
Seguin
Home
48.1% (580)
56.3% (126)
Away
51.1% (653)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Backlund
Seguin
P1
45.1%
44.3%
P2
54.7%
52.1%
P3
49.0%
62.5%
OT
46.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%