Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Granlund wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.4% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 67.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 71.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 68.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Granlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Granlund
O'Reilly
Last 10: Granlund 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Granlund
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Granlund
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,001)
56.6% (1,064)
-8.9%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
60.4% (260)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (132)
54.0% (261)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Granlund
O'Reilly
Home
45.9% (582)
54.9% (801)
Away
48.4% (624)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Granlund
O'Reilly
P1
48.6%
58.0%
P2
46.7%
56.7%
P3
46.9%
55.4%
OT
31.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |