Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 45.7% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 65.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 52.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Granlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Granlund
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Granlund
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (295)
56.1% (690)
-9.3%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
64.6% (96)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (63)
45.9% (109)
-9.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Granlund
O'Reilly
Home
47.8% (178)
58.3% (408)
Away
41.7% (206)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Granlund
O'Reilly
P1
44.7%
57.7%
P2
42.9%
54.8%
P3
45.7%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
39.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |