Mikael Granlund vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 49-36 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 76.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 85.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 87.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Granlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
49
(85 meetings)
36
49
Granlund
O'Reilly
Last 10: Granlund 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
11
Granlund
O'Reilly
21 total
Defensive Zone
Even
16
16
Granlund
O'Reilly
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
22
Granlund
O'Reilly
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,718)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.7%
Power Play
52.7% (748)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
51.4% (2,811)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Granlund
O'Reilly
Home
50.8% (3,884)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.3% (4,217)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Granlund
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
48.7%
57.0%
P3
48.2%
55.1%
OT
44.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |