Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 47.1% vs Hertl 52.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.6%
Defensive zone
Rantanen 55.8%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 73.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Rantanen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Rantanen
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Rantanen
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rantanen
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (309)
51.6% (1,084)
-5.3%
Power Play
51.3% (39)
61.0% (246)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.1% (136)
-27.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Rantanen shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hertl
Home
51.8% (197)
55.2% (696)
Away
39.5% (157)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Rantanen
Hertl
P1
47.2%
55.4%
P2
44.8%
54.8%
P3
46.9%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |