Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 94.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 71.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Rantanen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Rantanen
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rantanen
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
54.1% (1,117)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
59.8% (296)
-16.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Rantanen shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hertl
Home
49.4% (241)
54.3% (709)
Away
48.6% (212)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Rantanen
Hertl
P1
47.1%
51.6%
P2
46.7%
53.6%
P3
51.9%
58.6%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |