Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.0% vs Hertl 57.2% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Rantanen
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (44)
58.1% (823)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
56.2% (265)
-6.2%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Rantanen shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hertl
Home
48.4% (31)
59.7% (561)
Away
51.5% (33)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Rantanen
Hertl
P1
50.0%
51.6%
P2
33.3%
63.8%
P3
70.6%
58.6%
OT
42.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%