Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 52.1% vs Hertl 55.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 76.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 75.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 58.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Rantanen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rantanen
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rantanen
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (188)
54.1% (717)
+1.2%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
61.9% (210)
-15.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Rantanen shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hertl
Home
57.3% (143)
58.1% (492)
Away
47.3% (112)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Rantanen
Hertl
P1
47.8%
57.1%
P2
56.8%
54.0%
P3
54.5%
56.6%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |