Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 50.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Marner
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (7)
45.8% (755)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
27.6% (29)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Marner shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Marner
MacKinnon
Home
44.4% (9)
49.5% (396)
Away
66.7% (9)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Marner
MacKinnon
P1
80.0%
50.2%
P2
44.4%
43.8%
P3
33.3%
41.4%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%