Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +44.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 48.1% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-44.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 71.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Marner
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (3)
44.7% (1,053)
-44.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
65.0% (20)
-65.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marner is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Marner shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Marner
MacKinnon
Home
0.0% (4)
49.4% (553)
Away
0.0% (0)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Marner
MacKinnon
P1
0.0%
45.3%
P2
0.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
0.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%