Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 46.6% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-21.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 69.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Marner
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
45.5% (1,190)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
40.0% (30)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marner is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Marner shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Marner
MacKinnon
Home
20.0% (10)
47.8% (670)
Away
33.3% (6)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Marner
MacKinnon
P1
0.0%
45.3%
P2
57.1%
48.5%
P3
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
25.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%