Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 44.8% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-20.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Defensive zone
Marner 56.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Marner
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (24)
49.2% (1,266)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
49.1% (55)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marner is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Marner shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Marner
MacKinnon
Home
16.7% (18)
50.9% (740)
Away
43.8% (16)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Marner
MacKinnon
P1
10.0%
50.9%
P2
35.7%
51.8%
P3
40.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%