Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 50.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 61.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Marner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (7)
56.6% (1,064)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
54.0% (261)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Marner shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Marner
O'Reilly
Home
44.4% (9)
54.9% (801)
Away
66.7% (9)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Marner
O'Reilly
P1
80.0%
58.0%
P2
44.4%
56.7%
P3
33.3%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%