Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +26.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 44.8% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-26.3%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 72.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Marner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (24)
56.2% (983)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
52.0% (102)
-32.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marner is 23.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Marner shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Marner
O'Reilly
Home
16.7% (18)
56.2% (697)
Away
43.8% (16)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Marner
O'Reilly
P1
10.0%
54.5%
P2
35.7%
55.5%
P3
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%