Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +28.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 46.6% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-28.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Marner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
55.0% (1,084)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
40.3% (149)
-40.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marner is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Marner shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Marner
O'Reilly
Home
20.0% (10)
54.8% (759)
Away
33.3% (6)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Marner
O'Reilly
P1
0.0%
55.3%
P2
57.1%
51.9%
P3
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
100.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
25.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%