Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Foligno 48.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 84.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 60.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 61.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Frost
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Frost
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Frost
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
48.7% (495)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
56.9% (65)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
43.8% (144)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Frost
Foligno
Home
50.7% (489)
49.6% (359)
Away
51.7% (544)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Frost
Foligno
P1
53.6%
46.7%
P2
47.8%
52.7%
P3
52.0%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |