Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Krebs 40.7% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 91.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 91.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 91.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Frost
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Frost
Krebs
Last 5: Frost 5-0 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
33.3% (159)
+14.1%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
61.5% (13)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Frost shoots left. Krebs is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Frost
Krebs
Home
51.1% (221)
37.0% (81)
Away
45.9% (246)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Frost
Krebs
P1
47.5%
39.0%
P2
52.3%
32.8%
P3
44.7%
33.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
48.4%
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |