Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Krebs 46.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 64.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 76.4%
Neutral zone
Krebs 58.1%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Frost
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Frost
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Frost
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
47.2% (542)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
54.2% (24)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
31.3% (48)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Krebs has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Frost
Krebs
Home
49.9% (399)
45.5% (312)
Away
49.1% (424)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Frost
Krebs
P1
51.2%
46.6%
P2
53.9%
42.7%
P3
42.7%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |