Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Krebs 45.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 72.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 53.8%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Frost
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frost
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
44.6% (388)
+10.3%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
25.0% (4)
+35.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
45.0% (20)
+55.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Frost
Krebs
Home
56.0% (443)
46.8% (188)
Away
56.6% (429)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Frost
Krebs
P1
58.9%
47.2%
P2
55.3%
44.9%
P3
54.0%
41.1%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |