Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Krebs 45.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 92.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 60.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 78.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Frost
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Frost
Krebs
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
5
Frost
Krebs
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
5
1
Frost
Krebs
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
46.0% (2,159)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
52.5% (99)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
38.6% (171)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Frost
Krebs
Home
51.0% (2,047)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Frost
Krebs
P1
50.8%
45.9%
P2
51.1%
46.4%
P3
48.5%
44.8%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |