Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.1%). Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Krebs 45.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 72.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 57.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Frost
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Frost
Krebs
Last 7: Frost 4-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Frost
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
1
Frost
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
45.5% (501)
+0.1%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
50.0% (20)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
37.1% (35)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Frost
Krebs
Home
47.0% (440)
43.9% (285)
Away
44.8% (511)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Frost
Krebs
P1
42.5%
45.4%
P2
47.9%
50.9%
P3
46.6%
39.7%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |