Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Thomas 49.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 50.4%
Defensive zone
Frost 55.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Frost
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Frost
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
49.0% (910)
-1.6%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
53.5% (142)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
53.3% (75)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Frost shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Frost
Thomas
Home
51.1% (221)
47.3% (514)
Away
45.9% (246)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Frost
Thomas
P1
47.5%
50.4%
P2
52.3%
47.5%
P3
44.7%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |