Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Frost wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Thomas 52.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 66.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Frost
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Frost
Thomas
Last 10: Frost 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
2
Frost
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Frost
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Frost
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
53.2% (1,166)
-4.6%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
56.9% (262)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
48.4% (221)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Frost shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Frost
Thomas
Home
49.9% (399)
51.6% (830)
Away
49.1% (424)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Frost
Thomas
P1
51.2%
52.7%
P2
53.9%
55.6%
P3
42.7%
50.6%
OT
40.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |