Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Thomas 54.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 71.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 68.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Frost
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Frost
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Frost
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
55.3% (990)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
54.2% (190)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
52.5% (158)
-2.5%
On even strength, Thomas has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Frost shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Frost
Thomas
Home
50.7% (489)
55.1% (690)
Away
51.7% (544)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Frost
Thomas
P1
53.6%
55.5%
P2
47.8%
56.4%
P3
52.0%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
69.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |