Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 69.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 63.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Frost
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Frost
Thomas
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
11
2
Frost
Thomas
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
8
Frost
Thomas
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
5
Frost
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
51.1% (5,350)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
55.8% (921)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
49.9% (691)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Frost shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Frost
Thomas
Home
51.0% (2,047)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Frost
Thomas
P1
50.8%
50.6%
P2
51.1%
52.9%
P3
48.5%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |