Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 50.8%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Frost
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Frost
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
46.5% (101)
+0.9%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
33.3% (3)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
37.5% (8)
-17.5%
On power play, Frost has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Frost shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Frost
Lorentz
Home
51.1% (221)
49.1% (53)
Away
45.9% (246)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Frost
Lorentz
P1
47.5%
48.6%
P2
52.3%
36.7%
P3
44.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |