Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+14.8%)
Offensive zone
Frost 74.6%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 62.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Frost
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
30.8% (26)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
On even strength, Frost has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Frost
Lorentz
Home
50.7% (489)
35.0% (20)
Away
51.7% (544)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Frost
Lorentz
P1
53.6%
38.5%
P2
47.8%
37.5%
P3
52.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%