Blake Lizotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lizotte
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
48.5% (439)
+4.7%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
54.8% (42)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
25.0% (12)
+3.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lizotte is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Lizotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Home
46.9% (177)
52.5% (221)
Away
54.8% (177)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Lizotte
MacKinnon
P1
42.3%
50.5%
P2
51.8%
45.5%
P3
60.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |