Connor McDavid vs Nathan MacKinnon
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.4% vs 41.9%). Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). McDavid wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs MacKinnon 42.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
McDavid
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
McDavid
MacKinnon
Last 10: McDavid 9-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
7
0
McDavid
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
40.7% (953)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
51.4% (148)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
36.4% (55)
-0.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McDavid is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (335).
McDavid shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
McDavid
MacKinnon
Home
42.8% (451)
42.1% (617)
Away
40.0% (458)
41.7% (540)
By Period
McDavid
MacKinnon
P1
38.0%
43.4%
P2
44.9%
40.9%
P3
41.7%
40.8%
OT
20.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |