Connor McDavid vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 74.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
McDavid
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McDavid
MacKinnon
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
2
McDavid
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
44.4% (743)
+2.5%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
35.7% (70)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
25.9% (27)
+19.6%
On power play, McDavid has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McDavid is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
McDavid shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
McDavid
MacKinnon
Home
49.9% (353)
46.4% (394)
Away
45.4% (317)
40.1% (446)
By Period
McDavid
MacKinnon
P1
46.6%
44.4%
P2
50.9%
38.2%
P3
45.9%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |