Connor McDavid vs Nathan MacKinnon

2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 48.1% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 76.2%
Defensive zone McDavid 55.7%
Neutral zone McDavid 74.1%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
McDavid MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 4 (12 meetings)
8
4
McDavid MacKinnon
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
2
McDavid MacKinnon
8 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
44.4% (743)
+2.5%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
35.7% (70)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
25.9% (27)
+19.6%
On power play, McDavid has a +33.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McDavid is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
McDavid shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
McDavid
MacKinnon
Home
49.9% (353)
46.4% (394)
Away
45.4% (317)
40.1% (446)
By Period
McDavid
MacKinnon
P1
46.6%
44.4%
P2
50.9%
38.2%
P3
45.9%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
43.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 27, 2019 3 08:25 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 27, 2019 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 27, 2019 1 00:07 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 27, 2019 1 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 14, 2019 2 08:32 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 14, 2019 2 06:38 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 14, 2019 1 14:45 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 14, 2019 1 12:14 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 14, 2019 1 08:14 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 14, 2019 1 06:16 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 14, 2019 1 00:28 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 14, 2019 1 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon