Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 59.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Ek
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
16
(35 meetings)
19
16
Ek
MacKinnon
Last 10: Ek 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
6
Ek
MacKinnon
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
4
0
Ek
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Ek
MacKinnon
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (707)
48.5% (439)
-0.7%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
54.8% (42)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
25.0% (12)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ek is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Ek shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Ek
MacKinnon
Home
47.1% (414)
52.5% (221)
Away
47.1% (425)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Ek
MacKinnon
P1
45.5%
50.5%
P2
50.2%
45.5%
P3
44.3%
48.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |