Nathan MacKinnon vs Nazem Kadri
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 51 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Kadri 48.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 62-48 in 110 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
MacKinnon
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
62
(110 meetings)
48
62
MacKinnon
Kadri
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
15
18
MacKinnon
Kadri
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
11
15
MacKinnon
Kadri
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
22
29
MacKinnon
Kadri
51 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
48.2% (12,510)
-2.1%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
53.0% (1,892)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
41.0% (293)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
49.7% (6,444)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
47.4%
49.2%
P2
46.6%
48.8%
P3
46.1%
48.0%
OT
48.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |