Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Kadri 49.7% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
MacKinnon
Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
50.2% (849)
-4.4%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
50.6% (235)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
43.0% (93)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
49.5% (396)
48.5% (557)
Away
41.7% (448)
50.8% (620)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
50.2%
49.5%
P2
43.8%
51.3%
P3
41.4%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
63.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%