Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Kadri 47.6% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
MacKinnon
Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
47.4% (821)
+2.6%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
48.8% (86)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
38.5% (13)
-4.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
53.3% (591)
46.6% (487)
Away
49.6% (581)
48.3% (433)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
49.9%
52.7%
P2
53.2%
50.2%
P3
50.8%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%